A tool for dubious speculationQuantitative market lab
ConnectingPortfolio

Here, after a fancy manicure from chatgpt, I provide tools operating at the confluence of statistics and finance. Adjusted market prices come from Yahoo Finance, while the risk-free-rate input comes from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis when available. Volatility varies materially by asset, so this workspace is best used to complement, test, or contradict your own investment thesis.

Enter two to ten ticker symbols, choose a time window, compare adjusted performance, and inspect allocations that reflect different risk preferences. The projection extends the selected asset's recent log-return behavior; as the horizon grows, its uncertainty bounds widen to make the declining reliability visible.

The portfolio tool maps deterministic long-only candidates under a 70% asset cap and identifies the strongest candidate by the Sharpe ratio. It reports annualized expected log return, volatility, and weights. The Security Market Line below estimates beta from aligned excess daily log returns against the S&P 500 Index (^GSPC) and places each asset and the current portfolio relative to its CAPM-implied return.

Last adjusted price
VOO · 1Y window
Window return
Gained since window start
Annualized volatility
Daily log returns · 252 days
Maximum drawdown
Largest peak-to-trough decline
01 · MARKET COMPARISON

Adjusted price performance

Loading market history
Adjusted closes when the live feed is availableIndexed mode rebases every series to 100 at its first observation
02 · PORTFOLIO LAB

Allocation and efficient frontier

0.00Sharpe

Slider inputs are normalized to 100%. Presets use aligned daily log returns, diagonal covariance shrinkage, and deterministic long-only candidates capped at 70% per asset.

Expected return0.0%
Volatility0.0%
Risk-free rate4.0%
Current allocationBest sampled Sharpe
03 · MARKET PRICING

Security Market Line and beta

Demo analysis active
Estimating beta coefficients
04 · PROJECTION

VOO forecast